(11) Stanford (9-2) at (15) UCLA (9-2)
Saturday, November 24, 6:30 p.m. (et)
The Sports Network
By Phil Neuffer, Associate College Football Editor
GAME NOTES: In what could be a preview of the Pac-12 title game, the No. 11
Stanford Cardinal will land in the Rose Bowl looking to slow down the No. 15
UCLA Bruins in the regular-season finale for both squads.
In a weekend in which the top two ranked teams in the country fell, Stanford
posted a stunning 17-14 win in overtime over the then No. 1 Oregon Ducks. With
the win the Cardinal took control of the Pac-12 North Division from the
Ducks with its 7-1 mark against league foes. If Stanford wins this weekend or
Oregon loses in its matchup with Oregon State, the Cardinal would earn the
spot in the Pac-12 championship game on Nov. 30.
Head Coach David Shaw knows that getting to that title game is the real goal
and that last weekend's win guarantees nothing.
"There is no trophy for (that) game. There is no tangible evidence of (that)
game," Shaw said. "All we did was put ourselves in a good position and we are
going to play a really good UCLA team (this) week."
The other half of that title game has already been decided as UCLA wrapped up
the Pac-12 South division with a 38-28 win over cross-town rival USC last
weekend. The win was the fifth straight for the Bruins who are 9-2 overall and
6-2 in league play in the first season under head coach Jim Mora. The nine
wins is the most in a season for the Bruins since 2006 and only the fourth
time in the last 20 season UCLA has reached that mark.
For a team that has been a mediocre squad in the past few seasons, the win
over USC was a big one.
"It was great to finally beat our rivals and clinch the South division. It was
a big game. My senior year, to go out like this," senior running back
Johnathan Franklin said.
This rivalry dates back to 1925 and since then, UCLA owns a 45-34-3 series
lead, although Stanford has won each of the last three contests including a
45-19 rout last season.
Switching starting quarterbacks late in the season is usually not something a
team competing for a conference crown has to deal with. However Stanford has
done just that with Kevin Hogan getting the start under center in each of the
last two games. The sophomore took over after Josh Nunes struggled for much of
the regular season. In his two games Hogan has been relatively strong as he
has throw for 648 yards and seven touchdowns, while completing an impressive
74.2 percent of his passes with just three interceptions.
No matter who has been throwing the passes this season, Zach Ertz has been
hauling them in. The senior tight end was named a Mackey Award finalists
earlier in the week after he brought in nine passes for 75 yards and a crucial
touchdown against Oregon. On the season Ertz has led the Cardinal in
receptions (58), receiving yards (747) and touchdowns (6) by a wide margin.
Drew Terrell (362 yards) and Levine Toilolo (377 yards, 4 TDs) are the only
other receivers with more than 300 yards, while no player has reached the 30-
catch plateau besides Ertz.
Joining Ertz as a pillar in the offense is Stepfan Taylor. The senior running
back has been a workhorse out of the backfield this season carrying the ball
258 times for 1,222 yards and nine touchdowns. Taylor is the fourth most
productive rusher in the Pac-12 and one of just five backs to be putting up
more than 100 yards on the ground on a weekly basis. Taylor is perhaps the
most valuable player on the offense with no other running back having more
than 30 carries.
Overall Stanford is a relatively pedestrian offensive team ranking eighth in a
conference of high-octane offenses in total yards (381.1 ypg).
Where Stanford differs from the powerful offenses that litter the Pac-12 is
its dominating defense. In the game against Oregon, Stanford held what looked
to be an unstoppable force to its lowest rushing and points total of the
season. On the year Stanford is atop the Pac-12 in both total defense (328.4
ypg) and scoring defense (16.9 ppg). Where the Cardinal have been most
dominant is against the run, with the team allowing the second fewest yards
on the ground (71.3 pg) this season.
On a front seven filled with disruptive players, Chase Thomas has been one of
the best for the Cardinal, racking up 54 total tackles, 10.0 TFLs and 3.5
sacks. The list of playmakers doesn't stop there though as Shayne Skov (58
tackles, 7.5 TFLs), Trent Murphy (16.5 TFLs, 9.5 sacks), Usua Amanam (10.5
TFLs), Ben Gardner (13.5 TFLs, 6.5 sacks) and Henry Anderson (11.0 TFLs, 5.5
sacks) have all been terrorizing opposing backfields.
That is bad news for UCLA which relies heavily on its ground attack to power
its impressive offense. In the Pac-12, UCLA is behind only Oregon and Arizona
in total offense (488.5 ypg), while trailing only the Ducks in putting points
on the board (37.7 ppg). Those efforts have included the third-best rushing
attack (207.5 ypg) in the conference.
UCLA has a workhorse back of its own in Johnathan Franklin. The running back
has racked up 1,441 yards and 10 touchdowns on 228 carries. In the win over
USC, Franklin was practically unstoppable as he finished with 171 yards and
two scores on 29 carries.
Most teams breaking in a freshman quarterback would not have been able to
succeed on offense like UCLA. With Brett Hundley the Bruins haven't had to
deal with those issues. In just his first season Hundley has been exceptional,
completing 69.4 percent of his pass attempts for 2,973 yards and 25
touchdowns. Hundley is a fantastic athlete that extends plays and is more than
capable of picking up yards on the ground. Hundley has eight rushing
touchdowns this season and has rushed for more than 50 yards three different
times. Hundley's season has been fantastic in historical context as well with
his 249 completions this season a UCLA record.
Hundley also leans on his tight end quite a bit with Joseph Fauria proving to
be an invaluable asset in the passing game. Fauria has totaled only 478 yards
this season but has hauled in 10 touchdown passes and is second on the team in
receptions. Wide receiver Shaquelle Evans (47 receptions, 685 yards) has been
utilized more down the field than in the red zone.
Obviously UCLA cannot match the firepower that Stanford brings on defense. In
fact the Bruins will be hard pressed to have the same level of success
considering they are on the bottom half of the conference in both scoring
(25.0 ppg, eighth) and total defense (420.3 ypg, eighth). While some of that
is a result of a quick-strike offense, the Bruins will need to tighten up this
weekend.
Linebacker Eric Kendricks (112 tackles) is the Pac-12's leading tackler and
will be needed to keep up that level of play. The Bruins have a dominating
pass rush of their own with Anthony Barr (18.0 TFLs, 12.0 sacks), Datone Jones
(13.5 TFLs, 4.0 sacks) and Cassius Marsh (10.0 TFLs, 7.5 sacks) all difficult
players up front for opposing offensive lines to deal with.
There has been no fear shown by Stanford in playing in a hostile environment
against a powerful offense. Stanford might have the best run defense in the
country which will cause a load of problems for the Bruins. If Hogan continues
to manage the game well and Taylor and Ertz play to where they're capable, the
Cardinal will have a lot to be thankful for this holiday weekend.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Stanford 21, UCLA 20
11/21 11:01:11 ET

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