Welcome to Great38 Tampa Bay WTTA-TV/DT - WFLA News Channel 8

    Exclusive look inside newly renovated Al Lang Stadium Video included

    Updated:

    Great 38 News Now got an exclusive look at the newly renovated Al Lang Stadium while it was still under construction. More>>

    • Great Stuff

    PARC prepares for 41st Annual Golf Tournament Video included

    PARC prepares for 41st Annual Golf Tournament PARC prepares for 41st Annual Golf Tournament
    Updated:

    PARC is a local non-profit organization whose goal is to turn disabilities into capabilities. They provide opportunities for children and adults with developmental disabilities to exercise their independence and experience life to the fullest.  More>>

    Trio talks about 900 mile trek across Florida Video included

    Updated:

    You may remember these familiar faces. Mallory Lykes Dimmitt and Joe Guthrie stopped by Great 38 News Now in January before they set off on their 900 mile trek across the state of Florida. More>>

    News Now: JDRF is walking for a cure Video included

    Updated:

    JDRF is walking for a cure. Their goal is to create a world without type 1 diabetes. To help raise awareness and funds, they are holding a 5k walk on April 11th at Amalie Arena. Nicole Johnson and Tim Rivers stopped by to fill us in and to share their stories of living with diabetes. More>>

    News Now: Morgan Auto Group Charity Polo Classic Video included

    Updated:

    The Morgan Auto Group Charity Polo Classic took place on the 21st. The ladies put on their big hats and the men donned their bowties, and we raised a lot of money for Big Brothers, Big Sisters and Children's Cancer Center. This recap is brought to you by Marco's Pizza, who graciously donated $2,000 during the event. More>>

    News Now: Charity Polo Classic Video included

    Updated:

    Every year, Morgan Auto Group hosts their annual Charity Polo Classic. It's an event unlike any other in this area.This year, it is taking place on March 21st and benefits Big Brothers Big Sisters of Tampa Bay and Children's Cancer Center. More>>

    Celebrating Music Education Spirit Week

    Updated:

    We are celebrating kids who rock with Music Education Spirit Week! Lorri Naylor, a Lowry Elementary School teacher and a part of the Hillsborough County Elementary Music Educators Council, fills us in on the festivities.
    More>>

    USF 'Young Innovator' creates anti-bully band Video included

    Updated:

    Every year, USF holds their Young Innovator Competition, encouraging kids between kindergarten and 8th grade to invent something new or improve upon something that already exists. Meet Alexis Martin, this year's winner. The Anti-Bully Band she invented is her plan to stop bullying. More>>

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    • Higher storm chances in Tampa Bay

      Higher storm chances in Tampa Bay

      Monday, April 27 2015 3:49 AM EDT2015-04-27 07:49:57 GMT
      A weak front brings our rain chance up to 40% today. Higher rain chances in the forecast tomorrow.
      A weak front brings our rain chance up to 40% today. Higher rain chances in the forecast tomorrow.
    • Heath Matters: Trinity Spine Center

      Heath Matters: Trinity Spine Center

      Wednesday, March 18 2015 11:05 AM EDT2015-03-18 15:05:08 GMT
      Trinity Spine Center uses Stem Cells for Back Pain.Stem cells are master cells of the body that are available for repairing damaged tissues and organs including spine discs and cartilage cushions in the joints.
      Trinity Spine Center uses Stem Cells for Back Pain.Stem cells are master cells of the body that are available for repairing damaged tissues and organs including spine discs and cartilage cushions in the joints.
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    Will the "370" rule strike down Turner

    There is some reason to fear picking Michael Turner too high this coming season.
    Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) - There is a well-known theory running about fantasy football owners and experts, which says that a running back who carries the ball 370-or-more times in the regular season, or 390 times including playoffs, will see a drastic decrease in production the following season.

    According to a study by Football Outsiders, the drop in rushing yards is significant - 35%, while the drop in yards-per-carry is 8%.

    Looking at the final standings for the 2008-09 NFL season we see Atlanta's Michael Turner at the top of the "rushing attempts" category with 376 carries last season for 1,699 yards and 17 touchdowns. He also had 18 carries in a playoff loss to Arizona which puts him over 390 carries for the season.

    "All Day" Adrian Peterson was second with 363 attempts, but fortunately for believers of this theory, he had just 20 carries in his team's playoff loss to Philadelphia, leaving him just below the 370/390 carries plateau (more about 300-369 carries later).

    Using the "FO" theory, Turner is likely to post yardage totals in 2009-10 of around 1,190 yards and 4.1 yards-per-carry. Those numbers aren't quite worthy of a No.2 or No.3 overall selection, so the question we must ask ourselves is - "Is the Rule of 370 valid?"

    There is certainly some anecdotal evidence to back the theory. Jamal Anderson (1998), Terrell Davis (1998) and Edgerrin James (2000) all suffered knee injuries after their heavy workloads. Larry Johnson broke his foot the year after carrying the ball a ridiculous 429 times (including playoffs) in 2006 and Shaun Alexander broke his foot after carrying the ball 430 times during the 2005 regular season and Super Bowl playoff run.

    So there is some reason to fear picking Turner too high this coming season.

    Even Peterson's 363 carries (383 including playoffs) should concern fantasy owners. The same Football Outsiders study showed running backs with between 300-369 carries encountering a 15% drop in yardage and 2% fall in yards-per-carry.

    Obviously I would never tell you NOT to draft Peterson or Turner, but I am saying that later in the draft you should protect yourself by drafting their backups - in this case Jerious Norwood and Chester Taylor.

    Last six running backs with 370 regular season rushing attempts
    PlayerTeamYearAttYardsYearAttYards
    Michael TurnerATL20083761,6992009???????
    Larry JohnsonKC20064161,7892007158559
    Shaun AlexanderSEA20053701,8802006252896
    Curtis MartinNYJ20043711.6972005220735
    Ricky WilliamsMIA20033921,3722004168743
    Ricky WilliamsMIA20023831,85320033921,372


    Comments? Criticism? Applause? Contact Steve Schwarz at sschwarz@sportsnetwork.com.

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    Welcome to Great38 Tampa Bay WTTA-TV/DT - WFLA News Channel 8

    Welcome to Great38 Tampa Bay WTTA-TV/DT - WFLA News Channel 8

      Exclusive look inside newly renovated Al Lang Stadium Video included

      Updated:

      Great 38 News Now got an exclusive look at the newly renovated Al Lang Stadium while it was still under construction. More>>

      • Great Stuff

      PARC prepares for 41st Annual Golf Tournament Video included

      PARC prepares for 41st Annual Golf Tournament PARC prepares for 41st Annual Golf Tournament
      Updated:

      PARC is a local non-profit organization whose goal is to turn disabilities into capabilities. They provide opportunities for children and adults with developmental disabilities to exercise their independence and experience life to the fullest.  More>>

      Trio talks about 900 mile trek across Florida Video included

      Updated:

      You may remember these familiar faces. Mallory Lykes Dimmitt and Joe Guthrie stopped by Great 38 News Now in January before they set off on their 900 mile trek across the state of Florida. More>>

      News Now: JDRF is walking for a cure Video included

      Updated:

      JDRF is walking for a cure. Their goal is to create a world without type 1 diabetes. To help raise awareness and funds, they are holding a 5k walk on April 11th at Amalie Arena. Nicole Johnson and Tim Rivers stopped by to fill us in and to share their stories of living with diabetes. More>>

      News Now: Morgan Auto Group Charity Polo Classic Video included

      Updated:

      The Morgan Auto Group Charity Polo Classic took place on the 21st. The ladies put on their big hats and the men donned their bowties, and we raised a lot of money for Big Brothers, Big Sisters and Children's Cancer Center. This recap is brought to you by Marco's Pizza, who graciously donated $2,000 during the event. More>>

      News Now: Charity Polo Classic Video included

      Updated:

      Every year, Morgan Auto Group hosts their annual Charity Polo Classic. It's an event unlike any other in this area.This year, it is taking place on March 21st and benefits Big Brothers Big Sisters of Tampa Bay and Children's Cancer Center. More>>

      Celebrating Music Education Spirit Week

      Updated:

      We are celebrating kids who rock with Music Education Spirit Week! Lorri Naylor, a Lowry Elementary School teacher and a part of the Hillsborough County Elementary Music Educators Council, fills us in on the festivities.
      More>>

      USF 'Young Innovator' creates anti-bully band Video included

      Updated:

      Every year, USF holds their Young Innovator Competition, encouraging kids between kindergarten and 8th grade to invent something new or improve upon something that already exists. Meet Alexis Martin, this year's winner. The Anti-Bully Band she invented is her plan to stop bullying. More>>

      Out and About
      • Great StuffMore>>

      • Higher storm chances in Tampa Bay

        Higher storm chances in Tampa Bay

        Monday, April 27 2015 3:49 AM EDT2015-04-27 07:49:57 GMT
        A weak front brings our rain chance up to 40% today. Higher rain chances in the forecast tomorrow.
        A weak front brings our rain chance up to 40% today. Higher rain chances in the forecast tomorrow.
      • Heath Matters: Trinity Spine Center

        Heath Matters: Trinity Spine Center

        Wednesday, March 18 2015 11:05 AM EDT2015-03-18 15:05:08 GMT
        Trinity Spine Center uses Stem Cells for Back Pain.Stem cells are master cells of the body that are available for repairing damaged tissues and organs including spine discs and cartilage cushions in the joints.
        Trinity Spine Center uses Stem Cells for Back Pain.Stem cells are master cells of the body that are available for repairing damaged tissues and organs including spine discs and cartilage cushions in the joints.
      Powered by WorldNow

      200 South Parker Street, Tampa, FL 33606

      Telephone: 813.228.8888
      Fax: 813.225.2770
      Email: news@wfla.com

      Can???t find something?
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      All content © Copyright 2000 - 2015 Media General Communications Holdings, LLC. A Media General Company.