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NBA Rookies and their fantasy value

Derrick Rose plays almost 40 minutes per game.
Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) - Every year a talented group of basketball players enters the league through the NBA draft. And there are hundreds, no thousands of discussions as to who made the best pick, who got this year's steal and who's draft was best in the long run.

But unless you are in a keeper league, as a NBA fantasy owner you only care about now - not the long run. You are interested in their first year in the league, only.

Why does one rookie put up better numbers than another in year one? They are all talented, they all can run, jump and shoot.

For me, its all about opportunity - which amounts to PT...playing time as announcer Dick Vitale would say.

The numbers below, through December 22nd, seem to agree with my theory.

It says that evaluating rookies and their ability to help your fantasy team, isn't about talent, it's about their minutes on the floor. Stop trying to figure out who is the best rookie and simply find out who will get the most playing time and you can easily add points, rebounds and assists to your total.

Rookie
Minutes Played
Fantasy Value
Derrick Rose
38.3
27.6
O.J. Mayo
37.2
27.2
Mario Chalmers
31.5
17.1
D.J. Augustin
29.4
19.6
Russell Westbrook
28.9
22.0
Brook Lopez
27.8
18.5
Eric Gordon
26.8
13.4
Luc Mbah a Moute
26.8
15.7
Michael Beasley
25.8
19.5
Jason Thompson
24.5
17.0
Brandon Rush
24.2
11.4
Kevin Love
23.4
17.1
George Hill
21.2
14.7
Darrell Arthur
19.4
11.0
Ryan Anderson
17.8
12.3
Nicolas Batum
16.8
8.5
Courtney Lee
16.7
8.0
JaVale McGee
15.9
10.4
Donte Greene
14.2
6.8
Marreese Speights
14.0
11.2
Anthony Randolph
13.7
11.5
Roy Hibbert
12.3
8.1
Joe Alexander
12.0
6.4
Kosta Koufos
11.6
6.9
Robin Lopez
11.3
5.2
J.J. Hickson
7.7
5.2
Alexis Ajinca
6.9
3.6
Jerryd Bayless
6.3
3.7
Danilo Gallinari
6.0
2.0
Walter Sharpe
2.3
0.7
* Fantasy Value = ppg + rpg + apg


Comments? Criticism? Applause? Contact Steve Schwarz at sschwarz@sportsnetwork.com.

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