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Fluid situations in Seattle

Most believe that Justin Forsett will be the No. 1 running back option in Seattle.
Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) - It rains a lot in Seattle, but that's not exactly "newsworthy" information. What is news, for fantasy owners getting ready to draft their Opening Day rosters over the next few weeks, is the constantly changing situations involving the Seahawks' offense.

Fantasy owners are struggling to figure out what new head coach Pete Carroll plans to do with his backfield. Most believe that Justin Forsett will be the No. 1 option and he is being drafted near the end of the fifth round (RapidDraft ADP 59.1).

But that figures to be too soon to make that pick.

Carroll showed early in his reign that he wasn't confident of Forsett's ability, or any other back on the 2009 roster by trading for Leon Washington and former USC running back LenDale White. White is gone, but Washington (ADP 149) is a very capable running back, particularly on third downs, where Forsett excelled last season.

And Julius Jones (ADP 177) is still on the roster and capable of getting onto the field. Jones ran for 663 yards last season and also caught 35 balls for 232 yards.

One only has to look at Carroll's use of running backs at USC to know that he's a "Running-Back-By-Committee" guy.

In 2009, Carroll used Joe McKnight, Allen Bradford and Stafon Johnson (until his freak workout injury). In 2008, three backs had at least 89 carries (McKnight, Johnson, C.J. Cable) and in 2007 three backs had 94 or more carries (McKnight, Johnson, Chauncey Washington). Even when Carroll had the "electric" Reggie Bush in his backfield, he also gave the ball to White on an almost 50-50 basis.

Reading Carroll's tendencies means that barring an injury the correct analysis is that none of the Seattle running backs will be worthy of a starting spot in your lineup.

As confusing as the RBBC situation is, the receiving corps is even more problematic.

Sure, there is reliable T.J. Houshmandzadeh, who caught 79 balls for 911 yards and three touchdowns. But while he is reliable, they are still mediocre statistics at best. The team drafted a talented rookie in Golden Tate from Notre Dame and still has veteran Deion Branch and second-year receiver Deon Butler. They also took a flier on former Detroit No. 1 draft choice Mike Williams, who has gotten some good press early in training camp. None, however, looks like a starting fantasy receiver.

Now comes news that the Seahawks are in serious discussions with San Diego's talented but troubled receiver Vincent Jackson (ADP 69.7). If they did trade for him, he would immediately be the team's most talented receiver and fantasy worthy. Of course, Jackson would still have to sit out the first three games of the season due to a suspension.

The bottom line is that neither the running back nor receiving situations will be easy to sort out and drafting any of the players will be a risky selection. My advice is to stay away until the later rounds before picking anybody from Seattle.



Comments? Criticism? Applause? Contact Steve Schwarz at sschwarz@sportsnetwork.com.

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