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Innings Pitched per Start is Key

Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) - Innings pitched per start. It's a statistic which is not readily available on the Internet, but it's one which you should try to obtain because it seems to have real value.

The logic behind the number is basic - the longer a starting pitcher stays in the game, the better are his chances to get a decision. And the more chances for him to build his strikeout total.

If Cole Hamels only pitches into the sixth inning, he has less chance to win than if he throws a complete game. How many times did your starter leave a 2-2 game and you wished he went one more inning because the heart of his team's lineup is scheduled up next inning.

Not surprisingly the best pitchers in the game also go the longest.

Roy Halladay, the National League's Cy Young winner, led all full-time starters in 2010. His average start lasted into the eighth inning (IP per start = 7.581). It's no coincidence that Halladay had 31 decisions in 33 starts with 21 of them being wins.

Halladay was one of three pitchers who averaged more than seven complete innings pitched per game. The other two were AL Cy Young Award winner Felix Hernandez (7.329) and the Texas Rangers' Cliff Lee (7.575).

Of course, all three pitchers are obvious fantasy superstars.

We're talking the cream of the crop in most cases.

But amongst the leaders are some names you might not think of, or target for the upcoming season and that would be a mistake. Brett Myers (14-8. 3.14 ERA), Ervin Santana (17-10, 3.92 ERA), R.A. Dickey (11-9, 2.84 ERA), Trevor Cahill (18-8, 2.97) and Joel Pineiro (10-7, 3.84 ERA) all had nice seasons and could have been had for next to nothing at the beginning of last season. The highest 2010 ADP of the group was Santana at 229 which means none were likely drafted before the 19th round.

More importantly, if you follow IP/start through April and into May, you should be able to spot this year's bargains. So while the "herd" is picking up the latest "hot" pitcher who is 3-0 by sheer luck, you will be checking out the IP/start statistic to come up with a more reliable long-term fantasy value.

2010 Top 25 Starts by Innings Pitched per Start
RankPitcherWLERAIP/Start
1)Roy Halladay21102.447.581
2)Cliff Lee1293.187.575
3)Felix Hernandez13122.277.329
4)CC Sabathia2173.186.976
5)Adam Wainwright20112.426.972
6)Carl Pavano17113.756.906
7)Johan Santana1192.986.862
8)Justin Verlander1893.37.6.790
9)Brett Myers1483.146.763
10)Matt Cain13113.146.760
11)Ervin Santana17103.926.733
12)David Price1962.726.716
13)Chris Carpenter1693.226.714
14)Tim Hudson1792.836.711
15)Ubaldo Jimenez1982.886.703
16)R.A. Dickey1192.846.696
17)Zack Greinke10144.176.666
18)John Danks15113.726.656
19)Joel Pineiro1073.846.613
20)Roy Oswalt13132.766.600
21)Jered Weaver13123.016.591
22)Ricky Romero1493.736.562
23)Josh Johnson1162.306.542
24)Trevor Cahill1882.976.540
25)Jeremy Guthrie11143.836.534


Comments? Criticism? Applause? Contact Steve Schwarz at sschwarz@sportsnetwork.com.

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