Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) -
OK, so you were wrong about Facebook stock shooting through the roof in the first week of trading. Now let's get down to much more important stocks on the rise - football players who are riding the wave of success from 2011 and those who are expected to join them in 2012.
Comparing 2011 preseason Average Draft Positions (ADP) with the most current 2012 ADP from fantasyfootballcalculator.com, below you will find the 10 biggest movers from last year to this year.
Let's see if they are worth the price.
Apparently to make the list, your team has to have just signed a Hall of Fame quarterback, you became the handcuff to a frequently injured running back or exploded onto the scene as a wideout.
Denarius Moore, WR, Oakland - Moore displayed the deep threat ability that the late Al Davis always desired from his Raiders receivers. An 18.7 yards-per- reception player with three 100-yard games in 2011, Moore proved he can play in this league, and the addition of Carson Palmer behind center was an obvious boost to his value. He's currently an eighth-round selection (ADP 90) after not being among the top 400 in 2011. He's definitely worth the price.
Victor Cruz, WR, New York Giants - Cruz (2011 ADP 457) caught three touchdown passes in an exhibition game two years ago before getting hurt and it helped the coaches remember his name last season when they were desperately looking for wideouts following injuries to Hakeem Nicks, Mario Manningham and Ramses Barden. The rest is history as he became the team's go-to receiver down the stretch. He'll cost you a fourth-round pick in 2012, but with Manningham in San Francisco, Cruz and Nicks will likely both post 1,200-yard seasons. Still a bargain.
Demaryius Thomas, WR, Denver - Thomas (ADP 49) along with Eric Decker (68) and tight end Jacob Tamme (84) are all benefiting from the "Peyton Effect." Fantasy owners living in their fantasy world seem to believe that Manning can reproduce the Colts offense in the "Mile High" City. Sorry, but Thomas, Decker and Tamme are not Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark. All three are overpriced.
Torrey Smith, WR, Baltimore - With Anquan Boldin and newly acquired Lee Evans on the roster and running back Ray Rice good for 70-plus catches, no one expected much from the rookie out of Maryland. Evans, however, turned out to be a flop and the Ravens turned to Smith, who exploded onto the sene in Week 3 with a five-catch, 152-yard, three-touchdown performance. With Boldin dropping 42 spots to No. 99, it's obvious that fantasy owners think Smith has become the team's No. 1 receiver. I still believe Boldin will score more fantasy points in 2012 as defenses begin to double cover the young speedster.
Isaac Redman, RB, Pittsburgh - Redman wasn't even the handcuff to Rashard Mendenhall at the start of 2011, but by the end of the year he was Pitsburgh's best rushing option. When Mendenhall suffered a torn ACL in Week 17, it was Redman who ran 19 times for 92 yards and a touchdown. He also ran for 121 yards in a playoff loss to Denver. With Mendenhall almost a guarantee to start the season on the PUP list, Redman should get the first shot as the starter. That's not much history to go on. Plus coach Mike Tomlin confirmed that the Steelers expect Mendenhall to play in 2012. I can't spend a fifth-round pick on a guy who might not be in the starting lineup by fantasy playoff time.
Cam Newton, QB, Carolina - Newton was a 14th-round pick in 2011 (ADP 167), but he will cost you a second-round selection in 2012. Can he run for 700 yards and 14 touchdowns again? Probably. Can he throw for 4,000 yards with his receiving corps? I'm not quite as confident as fantasy owners. I believe he's slightly, but not outrageously, overpriced.
DeMarco Murray, RB, Dallas - Murray (ADP 15) is going to cost you a mid-second round pick. Wow, that's pricey for a guy with seven starts on his resume. Sure he was the best running back in the league from Week 6-9, but he couldn't take the pounding for even half a season and was always nicked up in his Oklahoma days, too. Plus, you must remember that the owner/general manager has a man-crush on running back Felix Jones. Too high a cost for what might be a shared situation.
Darren Sproles, RB, New Orleans - Sproles along with tight end Jimmy Graham were quarterback Drew Brees' favorite targets in 2011 and that should continue in 2012. The problem with drafting Sproles at No. 30 is that he's not going to be the team's primary running back. That job belongs to Mark Ingram. And while Sproles scored a career-high nine times in 2011, I don't believe that number of touchdowns is repeatable. In PPR leagues, he's worth the price, but if you don't earn a point-per-catch, he much too costly for a third-down back.
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