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2008 WR Bargains and Busts

The Lions' Calvin Johnson a.k.a. "Megatron" made the list despite catching balls from this "stellar" group: Dan Orlovsky, Daunte Culpepper, Jon Kitna and Drew Stanton.
Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) - In the third of an ongoing series of articles we look at wide receivers and check their 2008 on-field performance with expected value which in this case is measured by Average Draft Position (ADP).

BARGAIN

Calvin Johnson, Antonio Bryant, Roddy White, Eddie Royal, Santana Moss, Lance Moore, Vincent Jackson, Steve Breaston, Derrek Mason, Isaac Bruce

Two players who made the "Bargain List", Lance Moore and Steve Breaston, weren't even drafted in most leagues, but when given the opportunity to play because of injuries, took full advantage. The Lions' Johnson a.k.a. "Megatron" made the list despite catching balls from this "stellar" group: Dan Orlovsky, Daunte Culpepper, Jon Kitna and Drew Stanton. To finish third in fantasy scoring with that assortment of arms is practically a miracle. Bryant was particularly good during fantasy playoff time - averaging 31.3 points during Weeks 14-16.

FAIR MARKET VALUE

Larry Fitzgerald, Andre Johnson, Steve Smith, Greg Jennings, Anquan Boldin, Brandon Marshall, Wes Welker, Hines Ward.

Fitzgerald and Andre Johnson were the fifth and sixth receivers selected so their performance was expected to be good. Boldin would have made the top group if he hadn't missed a couple of games due to injury.

OVERPAID

Terrell Owens, Randy Moss, Reggie Wayne, Laveranues Coles, Lee Evans, Jerricho Cotchery, Santonio Holmes, Kevin Curtis

While Owens (2008 ADP - 14.51) and Moss (9.85) finished in the top-12 in wide receiver scoring, they must still be considered as "overpaid" after being selected so high. Moss' expectations in particular were unreasonable after his 2007 record-breaking season (1,493 yards, 23 TDs). Expectations were high on Holmes as well, many thought he would overtake Ward as the No.1 option in the Pittsburgh offense, but that didn't happen...at least not until the Super Bowl. Coles and Cotchery's performance can be directly related to Brett Favre's drop in production as the season went along.

BUST

T.J. Houshmanzadeh, Marques Colston, Braylon Edwards, Torry Holt, Roy E. Williams, Plaxico Burress, Chad Johnson, Chris Chambers

Most of these highly thought of wide receivers made the list because either they or their quarterbacks were injured. However, Edwards (ADP - 19.69), a second-round pick and Williams (ADP - 46.96), "earned" their way onto the "Bust List." Edwards was simply horrible (55 receptions, 873 yards, 3 TDs) with only one good game all season (Monday night in the Browns' upset of the New York Giants) and Williams (36 receptions, 430 yards, 2 TDs) couldn't make anything work in two cities - Detroit or Dallas.

Player Team POS PTS ADP
Larry Fitzgerald AZ WR 286 21.77
Andre Johnson HOU WR 274 24.32
Calvin Johnson DET WR 242 46.50
Steve Smith CAR WR 236 34.82
Roddy White ATL WR 236 72.66
Greg Jennings GB WR 223 54.76
Anquan Boldin AZ WR 219 42.86
Antonio Bryant TB WR 217 191.08
Terrell Owens DAL WR 206 14.51
Eddie Royal DEN WR 205 166.25
Brandon Marshall DEN WR 204 42.76
Randy Moss NE WR 201 9.85
Reggie Wayne IND WR 194 16.14
Wes Welker NE WR 191 37.50
Santana Moss WAS WR 190 82.01
Lance Moore NO WR 189 *
Hines Ward PIT WR 181 67.80
Vincent Jackson SD WR 181 120.45
Bernard Berrian MIN WR 180 93.58
Dwayne Bowe KC WR 178 9.88
Steve Breaston AZ WR 175 *
Derrick Mason BAL WR 161 116.78
Donald Driver GB WR 159 81.50
Kevin Walter HOU WR 155 154.96
DeSean Jackson PHI WR 151 137.22
Laveranues Coles NYJ WR 148 69.85
Houshmandzadeh CIN WR 148 28.06
Lee Evans BUF WR 148 67.76
Jerricho Cotchery NYJ WR 145 59.33
Isaac Bruce SF WR 142 140.49
Ted Ginn Jr MIA WR 140 114.36
Muhsin Mohammad CAR WR 131 163.74
Marques Colston NO WR 131 25.46
Santonio Holmes PIT WR 125 44.94
Braylon Edwards CLE WR 123 19.69
Devin Hester CHI WR 122 137.59
Mark Clayton BAL WR 120 167.62
Justin Gage TEN WR 115 160.96
Donnie Avery STL WR 115 201.13
Matt Jones JAC WR 114 *
Torry Holt STL WR 109 38.61
Michael Jenkins ATL WR 105 228.76
Marvin Harrison IND WR 103 56.17
Devery Henderson NO WR 102 209.00
Anthony Gonzalez IND WR 97 96.06
Domenik Hixon NYG WR 96 *
Nate Washington PIT WR 94 *
Antwaan Randle El WAS WR 89 169.47
Greg Camarillo MIA WR 89 *
Patrick Crayton DAL WR 88 97.81
Amani Toomer NYG WR 87 174.26
Bobby Wade MIN WR 87 *
Chad Johnson CIN WR 86 35.25
Davone Bess MIA WR 82 *
Jerheme Urban AZ WR 80 *
Chris Chambers SD WR 78 73.58
Plaxico Burress NYG WR 77 35.68
Dennis Northcutt JAC WR 76 *
Bryant Johnson SF WR 75 140.79
Josh Reed BUF WR 74 *
Miles Austin DAL WR 74 *
Brandon Stokely DEN WR 72 *
Deion Branch SEA WR 71 162.36
Malcolm Floyd SD WR 71 215.48
Joshua Cribbs CLE WR 71 *
Hank Baskett PHI WR 70 *
Jabar Gaffney NE WR 68 156.70
Steve Smith NYG WR 67 171.93
Ike Hilliard TB WR 66 *
Mark Bradley KC WR 64 *
Rashied Davis CHI WR 64 204.69
Will Blackmon GB WR 62 *
Harry Douglas ATL WR 59 *
Koren Robinson SEA WR 58 *
Bobby Engram SEA WR 57 121.94
Kevin Curtis PHI WR 56 102.52
Brandon Lloyd CHI WR 55 *
Michael Clayton TB WR 55 236.20
Chansi Stuckey NYJ WR 53 *
Roy E. Williams DAL WR 52 46.96
Reggie Williams JAC WR 52 136.48
Andre Davis HOU WR 51 203.85
Brandon Jones TEN WR 51 *
Robert Meachem NO WR 50 148.13
Jason Avant PHI WR 49 *
Josh Morgan SF WR 49 183.60
Mark Jones CAR WR 46 *
Jason Hill SF WR 45 *
Glenn Holt CIN WR 44 *

* - were drafted in less than 5% of all leagues


Comments? Criticism? Applause? Contact Steve Schwarz at sschwarz@sportsnetwork.com.

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