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To trade or not to trade

In only one of the past seven seasons has Baron Davis played in more than 68 games.
Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) - Now that the baseball season is winding down, it's time to find something to do with all the free time I'm about to enjoy. So obviously, I joined a fantasy basketball league.

I got the itch the other day and entered an online draft just for fun. Well, it's still five weeks before the season starts and I've already been offered a trade.

So with nothing else on the NBA horizon today, I've decided to analyze the offer.

Here are the basics of the league. It's a rotisserie league, ranking nine categories: FG%, FT%, 3PTM, PTS, REB, AST, ST, BLK and TO. We start 10 players; three guards, three forwards, two centers and two utility players and have three guys on the bench.

Here is the offer: He will trade me two guards, Baron Davis of the LA Clippers and Mike Bibby of Atlanta in exchange for two of my guards, Deron Williams of Utah and rookie Stephen Curry of Golden State.

The first thing you notice about the offer is that I would be trading the best player in the deal. But it's a relatively fair offer in that I am trading the best and fourth-best players and receiving the second and third-best players in return. That's the normal way to make a four-player deal by the way.

Unfortunately for him, I am a huge Williams fan, not so big that I would throw away a good offer, but it would have to blow me away to get me to pull the trigger.

Problem No.2 is the fragility of "The Baron." Davis, as anyone who follows basketball will tell you, is not likely to get you a season's worth of statistics. Very good ballplayer mind you, but in only one of the past seven seasons has he played in more than 68 games.

By Davis' own admission, he was awful last season. "I sucked last year," he told the Daily Breeze.

He also frequently battled with head coach Mike Dunleavy. Davis has nice career numbers (16.9 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 7.3 apg), but he'll turn 31 in April. Do I think that last year's drop in production was an aberration or the beginning of the inevitable decline?

Bibby is also a nice ballplayer, one who is the glue for the Atlanta Hawks offense. He averaged 14.9 ppg, 3.5 rpg and 5.0 apg in 79 games last season.

The hardest part of the trade to figure is Curry, a rookie out of Davidson. Curry is the son of former NBA star Dell Curry and is a great talent. His range is unlimited and will be an asset to my 3PTM totals and shooting percentages. He also plays on Golden State where Don Nelson employs an up tempo strategy which helps players pad their statistics.

I chose Curry with my 11th-round pick and think I should wait and see if he is as good as advertised. I can always make a trade for Williams, who is one of the top point guards in the league. There is simply no reason to pull the trigger on the trade before the season begins. I'd rather find out what I am trading in Curry before I deal, not after it.

For the reasons stated above, I'm going to pass on the offer.

2008 Player Statistics
Mike BibbyATL14.
Baron DavisLAC14.
Deron WilliamsUT19.42.910.71.10.347.184.970228
Stephen CurryDAV28.
* Curry's stats are from his final year at Davidson.

Comments? Criticism? Applause? Contact Steve Schwarz at sschwarz@sportsnetwork.com.

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