Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) -
It's still very, very early, but it's time to take a first look at what might happen at your 2013 NFL fantasy draft day.
Using the latest fantasyfootballcalculator.com results as a guide, here are a few tidbits that you might find interesting:
The thought of Adrian Peterson being another year removed from major knee surgery, when he rushed for 2,097 yards just nine months after his operation, has fantasy owners selecting him No. 1 overall. In fact, in none of the 1,913 mock drafts from May 14-17, was he drafted lower than fourth.
Second-year Tampa Bay running back Doug Martin is the third back off the board, ahead of Seattle's Marshawn Lynch, Baltimore's Ray Rice and Philadelphia's LeSean McCoy, tailbacks with more reliable histories. Apparently the fear of the sophomore jinx isn't strong enough to stop fantasy owners from an all-purpose back who combined for 1,926 yards and 12 touchdowns last season.
Despite finishing fifth among running backs in fantasy points during his rookie season, Washington's Alfred Morris is being taken at No. 11 overall and the 10th running back off the board. Such is the concern when choosing a back under the seemingly arbitrary control of Mike Shanahan. We all fear the day that Shanahan announces he's thinking of starting his 2013 fifth-round selection (No. 154) Chris Thompson or maybe Roy Helu.
Not surprisingly, Detroit wide receiver Calvin Johnson at No. 8 and Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers at No. 18 are the top choices at their position. So are New Orleans tight end Jimmy Graham, the Seattle Seahawks' defense and New England place-kicker Stephen Gostkowski.
Worries about Rob Gronkowski's four arm surgeries have dropped him from No. 21 last season to No. 36 this season. Monitor the New England tight end's health, he could end up being a "bargain" at a fourth-round price.
Fantasy owners believe Randall Cobb (No. 33) will be the Packers' best fantasy receiver ahead of Jordy Nelson and James Jones.
Denver's rookie running back, Montee Ball, is going in the fourth round (No. 39). It looks like people believe Willis McGahee and Knowshon Moreno won't be able to return from their injuries and Ronnie Hillman is just a change-of- pace back. Also of note is that Ball is being selected just ahead of Patriots quarterback Tom Brady at No. 40.
Mock drafters believe Le'Veon Bell and Chris Ivory will be the starting running backs for Pittsburgh and the New York Jets, respectively.
St. Louis rookie wideout Tavon Austin is a sixth-round selection (ADP 70). If he takes over the role Danny Amendola had as Sam Bradford's No. 1 target, he could be a very nice value.
The only Jets quarterback being selected is Geno Smith (No. 192).
Those who disagree with some of these selections should note that players aren't in training camps yet and situations change quickly when teams put on the pads and start hitting for real.
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