Fantasy Effect of Deadline Deals

Caron Butler is averaging 14.8 shots-per-game this season with the Wizards.
Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) - In general, if you have one of your fantasy players traded at the deadline, February 18th this year, you are likely to be getting the wrong end of the stick. That's because most times, teams in contention for the NBA championship are picking up additional talent to blend in with their already strong lineup, not lead it.

For example, the latest rumor has the Washington Wizards trading Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison to the Boston Celtics for three players with expiring contracts - Ray Allen, Brian Scalabrine and J.R. Giddens. While this would be a "steal" for the Celtics, for owners of Butler and Jamison it would be a disaster.

Butler is averaging 14.8 shots-per-game this season with the Wizards and Jamison is putting up 17.1 shots every night. Unfortunately, they would be replacing Allen, Scalabrine and Giddens who all together only hoist up about 15 shots-per-night.

It would really be farfetched for you to believe that Paul Pierce, Rajon Rondo Eddie House, Rasheed Wallace and Kevin Garnett are going to give up that many shot opportunities to the two newcomers.

There is simply no way that Butler will continue to average 16.9 ppg, 6.7 rpg and 2.3 apg per game in Boston. Similarly, Jamison won't average 20.5 ppg, 8.8 rpg and 1.3 apg while starting in the Boston lineup.

On the other hand, a trade like this, could open up opportunities in Washington for a youngster to shine, at least for the final few months of the season. Up front, Brendan Haywood (9.8 ppg, 10.3 rpg), who is already having a nice year, could see his shot opportunities rise. Or a guard like Nick Young, who has shown flashes in the past, could get more than 17 minutes-per-game and show the fantasy world what he has to offer.

There is another rumor going around that would have "Rip" Hamilton being moved from Detroit to Cleveland. While Hamilton would likely welcome the move to a contender, it wouldn't help his ppg total. He's averaging 17.6 ppg in Detroit, but in Cleveland, he'd be the third option (LeBron James, Shaquille O'Neal, J.J. Hickson), or fourth when Mo Williams returns from injury.

By the same token, if Hamilton leaves Detroit, Rodney Stuckey, who is playing solid basketball, will become even more valuable.

Other fantasy-relevant players who are being bandied about the rumor mill include: Amare Stoudemire, Andre Iguodala, Troy Murphy, Tyrus Thomas, Andris Biedrins, Josh Howard, Michael Beasley and the formerly relevant Tracy McGrady.

2009-10 Statistics for Selected Players
Caron Butler 16.9 6.7 2.3 1.4 0.3 42.2 26.3 87.7
Antawn Jamison 20.5 8.8 1.3 1.0 0.2 45.0 34.5 70.0
Ray Allen 16.0 3.4 2.7 0.9 0.3 45.0 33.8 89.2
Amare Stoudemire 21.2 8.6 1.0 0.7 1.0 55.5 0.0 76.7
Rip Hamilton 17.6 2.8 4.8 0.7 0.1 55.5 0.0 76.7
Andre Iguodala 17.1 2.8 5.7 1.9 0.6 42.5 31.3 76.4
Troy Murphy 14.0 9.9 2.0 0.9 0.5 48.7 38.6 79.2
Tyrus Thomas 8.8 6.3 1.1 1.3 1.6 47.4 0.0 64.7
Andris Biedrins 5.7 7.8 1.7 0.5 1.5 62.9 0.0 13.0
Josh Howard 12.5 3.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 40.1 26.7 79.0
Michael Beasley 15.5 6.7 1.3 1.0 0.5 45.9 27.8 80.1
Tracy McGrady 7.8 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.3 36.8 50.0 66.7

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