Ryan Howard's slugging percentage jumps 100 points in the second half of the season.
Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) -
For the past couple of days, I've been telling you who you should trade away at the mid-point of the 2010 baseball season based on their historical tendency to have bad second halves. Today, we tell you who you should be looking to get in the deal as they have a great second-half track record.
As always in statistical research, the more data you accumulate, the more reliable the results. Since Aubrey Huff has played 11 seasons his "regularly scheduled" second-half splurge is more reliable than that of Jay Bruce, who has played just two seasons as a starter.
We continue our research with the National League.
Obviously, Ryan Howard and Troy Tulowitzki will cost you an "arm and a leg" but others on this list might still be a free agent.
The No.1 target on my list would be Chris Young, the Arizona Diamondbacks outfielder, who is already playing well above his pre-season expectations. In 22 games this season, he batting .281 with 11 runs scored, four homers and 21 runs batted in. If his second half slugging percentage is 76 points above his current level (.483) then fantasy owners would have the makings of a TSN "Best Bargain" winner. Young is still owned in just under 70% of all leagues and if he's a free agent in yours, run don't walk to pick him up.
Another Diamondback on the list is LaRoche, who is well known for second-half surges, but is already hitting a solid .299 with four homers and 17 RBI. He's owned in about half of all leagues.
And if you are looking for an outfielder to fill in for an injury, you could do a lot worse than Bruce, who has picked it up after a very slow start. Bruce, owned in 63% of all leagues, was hitting .146 on April 17th, but as we hit the last day of the month has his average up to .237. He has too much talent to finish at this level and I'm expecting his batting average to continue it's upward trend.
Selected NL Hitters - by Slugging Percentage Variation