Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) -
The NFL fantasy season has ended for the vast majority of fantasy football fans which means it's time to turn our head towards the "boys of summer."
While we may remember a lot from last season, there are quite a few fantasy- worthy players who have changed addresses.
Today we are here to look at the offensive side of the ball.
Lets look at the top group of fantasy hitters who have signed with new teams or been traded and evaluate whether the change of location will be good or bad for their fantasy value.
Carl Crawford, Boston - Crawford will likely bat second behind Jacoby Ellsbury and in front of Adrian Gonzalez, Kevin Youkilis and Dustin Pedroia. That's a great spot to continue scoring runs in bunches. The short right field porch could also allow Crawford to hit 20 home runs for the first time in his career...assuming he stays healthy. His ADP (Average Draft Position) should be around 10-12, near the end of the first round or start of the second.
Adam Dunn, Chicago White Sox - Dunn is about the most consistent home run hitter outside of Albert Pujols that there is in the league. Over the past six seasons, he's hit 40 homers four times and 38 homers twice. U.S. Cellular Field doesn't get the notoriety of parks in Colorado, Texas or Philadelphia, but it's a great hitter's park. As long as you don't mind the .260 batting average, Dunn should improve on his power numbers in Chicago and is well worth the fourth-round selection (ADP 45).
Adrian Gonzalez, Boston - Gonzalez hit the mother lode. He leaves the batting nightmare of PETCO Park for Fenway. He also becomes part of a great offensive lineup, so instead of being pitched around, he'll actually get to hit strikes this year. Considering he averaged 32.2 homers per season in five years in San Diego, 40-45 homers is a reasonable goal. He'll cost you a late second/early third round pick, but could be a huge bargain.
Brad Hawpe, San Diego - Hawpe heads in the other direction, leaving the friendly confines of Colorado and Tampa Bay for the hitting "desert" which is PETCO Park. It was just 2007 when he hit 29 homers, knocked in 116 runs and hit a solid .291, but those days are just a dream now and he's not a valuable fantasy commodity anymore. I would certainly not entertain drafting him before the last few rounds.
Jose Lopez, Colorado - Coming off his worst season since 2005, Lopez could be a solid third base option in 2011. He's just one year removed from a 25 HR, 96 RBI season in Seattle. The massive outfield in Colorado should be inviting for this gap hitter who should bat close to the .300 mark and 15-20 homers is achievable. He's not on anyone's radar yet, except mine, so you could make him a late-round selection and get a nice steal.
Derrek Lee, Baltimore - Lee is no longer the 30 HR, 90 RBI, 15 SB guy he was between 2002 and 2005, but he should be a solid fantasy option in 2011 either as a first basemen or corner guy. Health is the key. If he plays 150 games then he can take advantage of a better top of the lineup than he had in Chicago/Atlanta with Brian Roberts, Adam Jones and Nick Markakis in front of him.
Victor Martinez, Detroit - Martinez was hampered by injuries in 2010, but still put up better offensive numbers than Joe Mauer who was selected ahead of him. He's a perennial .300 hitter who usually hits 20-25 homers. The batting average should stay up there in 2011, but spacious Comerica Park could rob him of a half dozen long balls. He's currently going around the fourth round and that should be a fair market value for his services.
Carlos Pena, Chicago Cubs - He's "Mr. All-or-Nothing" who in his four seasons at Tampa Bay knocked 144 homers, but also struck out 629 times and batted just .238, including a below-the-Mendoza-line .196 last season. Early drafts have him as a 17th or 18th rounder which means there is little downside to taking a flier on him and a nice upside if he finds his batting stroke. Obviously, you need to have some good batting average hitters on your team to be able to afford him in your lineup.
Mark Reynolds, Baltimore - Speaking of all-or-nothing, that description fits Reynolds as well. Two years ago he hit 44 homers, knocked in 102 runs and stole 24 bases. Last year he slumped to 32 home runs, 85 RBIs and seven steals. He'll likely bat fifth in the Orioles lineup and won't cost you a lot on Draft Day (ADP 137). If you feel he can recapture his 2009 stroke then you could have a huge bargain, but I wouldn't go into the season expecting him to carry my offense.
Dan Uggla, Atlanta - Uggla brings his power hitting to Atlanta after averaging 31 home runs for Florida over the past five seasons. He had his best season in 2010 with 33 HR, 105 RBI and a career-high batting average of .287. There is little difference in the ball parks, but the Braves lineup might offer a few more opportunities with the like of Martin Prado, Jason Heyward and Brian McCann. Be prepared to pay a high price as his current ADP is around 21 - a second-round selection. That might be a little too high considering you could get Ian Kinsler, Dustin Pedroia or Brandon Phillips for less.
Jayson Werth, Washington - Werth was a huge free-agent signing for Washington, but whether he can produce like he did in Philadelphia is another matter. Werth has great numbers against lefthanded pitching (career OPS .944) and with most of the Phillies power coming from lefthanders Chase Utley, Ryan Howard and Raul Ibanez, he saw quite a few southpaws. That may not be the case in Washington and he also won't have the same number of opportunities as pitchers frequently pitched around Howard to get to him. He's currently a third-round pick (ADP 35) but I worry that might be too high a price for what you'll get.
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