West Virginia (5-3) at Oklahoma State (5-3)
The Sports Network
DATE & TIME: Saturday, Nov. 10, 3:30 p.m. (et)
FACTS & STATS: Site: Boone Pickens Stadium (60,218) -- Stillwater, Oklahoma.
Television: ABC. Home Record: WVU 3-2, OSU 4-1. Away Record: WVU 1-2, OSU 1-2.
Neutral Record: WVU 1-0, OSU 0-0. Conference Record: WVU 2-3, OSU 3-2. Series
Record: West Virginia leads, 2-1.
GAME NOTES: Two of the nation's most potent offenses are sure to set off some
fireworks in Stillwater on Saturday afternoon, as the Oklahoma State Cowboys
play host to the West Virginia Mountaineers.
West Virginia started the season red hot, winning its first five games to
climb to No. 5 in the AP Poll, but it proved with its performance over the
last few weeks that its early success may have been fool's gold. The
Mountaineers have lost three straight games, including at home last week in
double-overtime to TCU, 39-38, to fall out of the Top-25. At 2-3 in the Big
12, their BCS hopes are all but dead, but with one more victory they will
become bowl eligible.
Oklahoma State has the same 5-3 overall record as West Virginia, but it
currently sits ahead of the Mountaineers in the conference standings thanks to
a perfect 3-0 October where it defeated Kansas (20-14), Iowa State (31-10) and
TCU (36-14). The Cowboys started off November with a brutally-tough matchup on
the road against No. 2 Kansas State last week, losing 44-30. They have been
stellar at home since 2008, going 27-6 at Boone Pickens Stadium, with wins in
10 of their last 11 there.
West Virginia has won two of the three matchups against Oklahoma State all-
time, although the teams haven't met since the 1987 Sun Bowl.
The Mountaineers have one of the most explosive offenses in the nation, as
they rank ninth in scoring with 40.8 ppg, although three of the teams ranked
ahead of them belong to the high-flying Big 12 (including OSU). After putting
up just 14 points in losses to Texas Tech and Kansas State, the offense
returned to form last week with 38 points, albeit behind just 338 total yards.
After a red-hot start to the season, Geno Smith has slowed his pace in recent
weeks. He tossed three touchdown passes against TCU, but over the past three
weeks he has completed less than 59 percent of his passes and has thrown his
only three interceptions of the season. Despite his recent struggles, Smith's
year-to-date stats (.720 completion percentage, 2.677 yards, 29 TDs) still
have in the thick of the Heisman race.
Smith's success under center has led to a pair of outstanding seasons from the
Mountaineers' receivers. Fresh off an 11-catch, 101-yard game, Tavon Austin is
second in the Big 12 in receiving yards (889) and second in the nation in
receptions (85), while also hauling in 10 touchdowns. Stedman Bailey is hot on
Austin's heels with 61 catches for 830 yards, and his 15 receiving TDs are
tops in the country.
Only 42 percent of West Virginia's plays have been runs, so naturally the
rushing attack plays second-fiddle to the aerial assault, but Andrew Buie has
proven to be as stellar carrying the ball (593 yards, five TDs) as he is a
receiver out of the backfield (24 receptions, 255 yards).
The downfall for the Mountaineers has been a defense that allows nearly as
much as the offense creates (39.8 ppg, 484.4 ypg), and the unit hasn't allowed
fewer than 39 points since a 31-21 win over Maryland back on Sept. 22.
Not only has Isaiah Bruce been the team's top tackler (75), but he has also
accounted for three of its 13 takeaways with an interception and two fumble
recoveries. Josh Francis is its best pass rusher with 14 tackles for loss and
4.5 sacks.
Oklahoma State's offense (42.5 ppg) has been a well-oiled machine, ranking
second in the nation in yards per game with 575.8. Although the offense put up
solid numbers on the road against second-ranked K-State (30 points, 504
yards), the performance marked its second-lowest output of the season.
With J.W. Walsh (.662 completion percentage, 1,467 yards, 10 TDs, three INTs)
out for the season, the Cowboys turned to Wes Lunt to start last week's game,
but he threw three interceptions before leaving the game with an injury.
Third-string quarterback Clint Chelf came in to take the first meaningful
snaps of his career and played well given the circumstances, completing 16-
of-27 passes for 233 yards with a touchdown and an interception.
Without Walsh's dual-threat abilities under center (254 rushing yards, three
TDs), the rushing attack struggled against K-State with just 87 yards. Joseph
Randle (934 yards, nine TDs) is typically one of the best running backs in the
country, as he has rushed for at least 100 yards in six of eight games.
Sophomore receiver Josh Stewart (666 yards, three TDs) has emerged as the top
receiving threat, as his 56 receptions are already the 14th-best single-season
total in school history. Charlie Moore (28 receptions, 476 yards, four TDs)
and Blake Jackson (24 receptions, 480 yards, TD) bring big-play ability to the
outside.
Considering the degree of difficulty of its conference opponents, the Oklahoma
State defense has played very well, allowing under 26 ppg. It had its hands
full against a powerful Wildcats squad a week ago, but consider the turnover
problems on offense and the fact that 14 of their 44 points came on defense or
special teams, the unit performed admirably.
Despite missing a game, Alex Elkins is still the team's leading tackler with
43 stops. The Cowboys have not come up with many big plays on defense as they
average less than two sacks per game and have logged just nine turnovers.
The difference between the West Virginia team from the beginning of the year
to what it is now is night and day. Smith still has the ability to put up
points, but the league has definitely figured out ways to slow him down.
Regardless of its quarterback issues, Oklahoma State will surely have no
problem scoring on the Mountaineers' porous defense. The Cowboys match up well
with WVU in this contest, and the home field advantage is just the icing on
the cake.
Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Oklahoma State 45, West Virginia 35
11/07 10:36:51 ET

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